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Match predictions

Lausanne vs FC Astana Prediction

UEFA Conference League · Thu, Aug 7 - 21:15

UEFA Conference League logo UEFA Conference League Won
Lausanne Lausanne logo
3-1
FC Astana logo FC Astana
FULL-TIME 3RD QUALIFYING ROUND Stade de la Tuiliere
143%Home X24%Draw 233%Away
Match Centre Confidence 43%
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Match forecast

Lausanne to Win

Won
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 43% ★★☆☆☆
Lausanne Win43%
Draw24%
FC Astana Win33%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 70% probability Actual: 4 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 40% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 3-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 43% Final score: 3-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Lausanne formL D W D L5 points from last five
FC Astana formW L L W D7 points from last five
Home/Away strength57% / 67%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.00 - 1.00Average goals scored
Table position9 / 11 pts vs pts
Player form7.34 / 6.50Average top-player rating

Reason for tip

Lausanne have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while FC Astana have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Lausanne a 57% home win trend and FC Astana a 67% away win trend. Lausanne average 1.00 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the recent sample, compared with FC Astana at 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Lausanne 2 wins, FC Astana 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The table context has Lausanne in position 9, 11 points, 6 matches played, while no comparable table row was available for FC Astana. Player-form data gives Lausanne an average top-player rating of 7.34 with 4 latest goal involvements, compared with FC Astana at 6.50 rating and 1 goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 43% home, 24% draw and 33% away, making Lausanne to Win the preferred tip at 43% confidence.

Lausanne 2 wins, FC Astana 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 3-1 · Outcome: Home Win

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