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Match predictions

Universitatea Craiova vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction

UEFA Conference League · Thu, Nov 27 - 20:45

UEFA Conference League logo UEFA Conference League Won
Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova logo
1-0
FSV Mainz 05 logo FSV Mainz 05
FULL-TIME LEAGUE STAGE - 4 Stadionul Ion Oblemenco
147%Home X21%Draw 231%Away
Match Centre Confidence 47%
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Match forecast

Universitatea Craiova to Win

Won
Predicted score 2-1 Confidence: Low · 47% ★★☆☆☆
Universitatea Craiova Win47%
Draw21%
FSV Mainz 05 Win31%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 69% probability Actual: 1 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score Yes 60% probability Actual: No · Lost
Correct Score 2-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-0 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 47% Final score: 1-0
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Universitatea Craiova formW W L L W9 points from last five
FSV Mainz 05 formW L W L D7 points from last five
Home/Away strength71% / 50%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.60 - 1.50Average goals scored
Table position25 / 77 pts vs 13 pts
Player form- / 7.45Average top-player rating

Reason for tip

Universitatea Craiova have won 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, while FSV Mainz 05 have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Universitatea Craiova a 71% home win trend and FSV Mainz 05 a 50% away win trend. Universitatea Craiova average 1.60 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the recent sample, compared with FSV Mainz 05 at 1.50 scored and 1.60 conceded. Universitatea Craiova 1 wins, FSV Mainz 05 0 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings. The table context has Universitatea Craiova in position 25, 7 points, 6 matches played, while FSV Mainz 05 in position 7, 13 points, 6 matches played. Player-form data is available for FSV Mainz 05, with an average top-player rating of 7.45 and 14 latest goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 47% home, 21% draw and 31% away, making Universitatea Craiova to Win the preferred tip at 47% confidence.

Universitatea Craiova 1 wins, FSV Mainz 05 0 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-0 · Outcome: Home Win

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