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Match predictions

Jagiellonia vs KuPS Prediction

UEFA Conference League · Thu, Nov 27 - 23:00

UEFA Conference League logo UEFA Conference League Won
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia logo
1-0
KuPS logo KuPS
FULL-TIME LEAGUE STAGE - 4 Chorten Arena
151%Home X24%Draw 224%Away
Match Centre Confidence 51%
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Match forecast

Jagiellonia to Win

Won
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 51% ★★★☆☆
Jagiellonia Win51%
Draw24%
KuPS Win24%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 55% probability Actual: 1 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score No 45% probability Actual: No · Won
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-0 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 51% Final score: 1-0
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Jagiellonia formW L D L W7 points from last five
KuPS formL W L L D4 points from last five
Home/Away strength57% / 22%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.30 - 1.00Average goals scored
Table position17 / 219 pts vs 7 pts
Player form7.19 / 7.30Average top-player rating

Reason for tip

Jagiellonia have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while KuPS have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Jagiellonia a 57% home win trend and KuPS a 22% away win trend. Jagiellonia average 1.30 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the recent sample, compared with KuPS at 1.00 scored and 1.10 conceded. Jagiellonia 1 wins, KuPS 0 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings. The table context has Jagiellonia in position 17, 9 points, 6 matches played, while KuPS in position 21, 7 points, 6 matches played. Player-form data gives Jagiellonia an average top-player rating of 7.19 with 14 latest goal involvements, compared with KuPS at 7.30 rating and 14 goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 51% home, 24% draw and 24% away, making Jagiellonia to Win the preferred tip at 51% confidence.

Jagiellonia 1 wins, KuPS 0 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-0 · Outcome: Home Win

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