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Match predictions

Lech Poznan vs Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction

UEFA Conference League · Thu, Mar 12 - 20:45

UEFA Conference League logo UEFA Conference League Lost
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan logo
1-3
Shakhtar Donetsk logo Shakhtar Donetsk
FULL-TIME ROUND OF 16 Stadion Poznan
147%Home X22%Draw 232%Away
Match Centre Confidence 47%
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Match forecast

Lech Poznan to Win

Lost
Predicted score 2-1 Confidence: Low · 47% ★★☆☆☆
Lech Poznan Win47%
Draw22%
Shakhtar Donetsk Win32%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 4 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 65% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 2-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-3 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 47% Final score: 1-3
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Lech Poznan formW L W W W12 points from last five
Shakhtar Donetsk formL L D W L4 points from last five
Home/Away strength50% / 50%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.80 - 1.70Average goals scored
Table position11 / 610 pts vs 13 pts
Player form6.95 / -Average top-player rating

Reason for tip

Lech Poznan have won 4 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Shakhtar Donetsk have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Lech Poznan a 50% home win trend and Shakhtar Donetsk a 50% away win trend. Lech Poznan average 1.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Shakhtar Donetsk at 1.70 scored and 1.10 conceded. Lech Poznan 1 wins, Shakhtar Donetsk 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The table context has Lech Poznan in position 11, 10 points, 6 matches played, while Shakhtar Donetsk in position 6, 13 points, 6 matches played. Player-form data is available for Lech Poznan, with an average top-player rating of 6.95 and 9 latest goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 47% home, 22% draw and 32% away, making Lech Poznan to Win the preferred tip at 47% confidence.

Lech Poznan 1 wins, Shakhtar Donetsk 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 1-3 · Outcome: Away Win

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