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Match predictions

Raków Częstochowa vs Fiorentina Prediction

UEFA Conference League · Thu, Mar 19 - 20:45

UEFA Conference League logo UEFA Conference League Lost
Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa logo
1-2
Fiorentina logo Fiorentina
FULL-TIME ROUND OF 16 ArcelorMittal Park
144%Home X22%Draw 234%Away
Match Centre Confidence 44%
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Match forecast

Raków Częstochowa to Win

Lost
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 44% ★★☆☆☆
Raków Częstochowa Win44%
Draw22%
Fiorentina Win34%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 70% probability Actual: 3 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 40% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-2 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 44% Final score: 1-2
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Raków Częstochowa formL L W W W9 points from last five
Fiorentina formD W D L D6 points from last five
Home/Away strength71% / 60%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.40 - 0.80Average goals scored
Table position2 / 1514 pts vs 9 pts
Player form- / 6.93Average top-player rating

Reason for tip

Raków Częstochowa have won 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Fiorentina have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Raków Częstochowa a 71% home win trend and Fiorentina a 60% away win trend. Raków Częstochowa average 1.40 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Fiorentina at 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Raków Częstochowa 0 wins, Fiorentina 2 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The table context has Raków Częstochowa in position 2, 14 points, 6 matches played, while Fiorentina in position 15, 9 points, 6 matches played. Player-form data is available for Fiorentina, with an average top-player rating of 6.93 and 13 latest goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 44% home, 22% draw and 34% away, making Raków Częstochowa to Win the preferred tip at 44% confidence.

Raków Częstochowa 0 wins, Fiorentina 2 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 1-2 · Outcome: Away Win

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