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Match predictions

Genk vs Lech Poznan Prediction

Europa League · Thu, Aug 28 - 21:00

Europa League logo Europa League Won
Genk Genk logo
1-2
Lech Poznan logo Lech Poznan
FULL-TIME PLAY-OFFS Cegeka Arena
136%Home X21%Draw 243%Away
Match Centre Confidence 43%
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Match forecast

Lech Poznan to Win

Won
Predicted score 2-3 Confidence: Low · 43% ★★☆☆☆
Genk Win36%
Draw21%
Lech Poznan Win43%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 3 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 65% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 2-3 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-2 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 43% Final score: 1-2
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Genk formL W L W W9 points from last five
Lech Poznan formW L W W W12 points from last five
Home/Away strength43% / 63%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.70 - 1.80Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Genk have won 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Lech Poznan have won 4 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Genk a 43% home win trend and Lech Poznan a 63% away win trend. Genk average 1.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Lech Poznan at 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Genk 1 wins, Lech Poznan 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 36% home, 21% draw and 43% away, making Lech Poznan to Win the preferred tip at 43% confidence.

Genk 1 wins, Lech Poznan 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-2 · Outcome: Away Win

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