Tusker vs Kenya Police FC Prediction

Prediction summary

Tusker vs Kenya Police FC key facts

Primary tipTusker to Win

Predicted score3-0

Kick-offSun, Jun 14 - 15:00

Confidence38%

Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

Tusker have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Kenya Police FC have won 2 of their last 3. The available home/away sample gives Tusker a 50% home win trend and Kenya Police FC a 50% away win trend. Tusker average 0.70 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Kenya Police FC at 1.33 scored and 1.00 conceded. Tusker 1 wins, Kenya Police FC 2 wins, 0 draws in last 3 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 38% home, 25% draw and 37% away, making Tusker to Win the preferred tip at 38% confidence.

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Match forecast

Tusker to Win

Won

Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 38% ★★☆☆☆

Tusker Win38%

Draw25%

Kenya Police FC Win37%

Recommended markets

Data-driven betting predictions

Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.

Match Winner Tusker to Win 38% model probability

Double Chance 12 75% model probability

Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 63% model probability

Both Teams To Score No 57% model probability

Correct Score 3-0 Model-derived tip

First Team To Score Kenya Police FC Model-derived tip

Clean Sheet Tusker clean sheet possible Model-derived tip

Over 2.5 Goals Yes 63% probability Actual: 3 goals · Won

Both Teams To Score No 43% probability Actual: Yes · Lost

Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-1 · Lost

Model Confidence Low 38% Final score: 2-1

Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Tusker formW L L W D7 points from last five

Kenya Police FC formL W W6 points from last five

Home/Away strength50% / 50%Venue trend in available data

Goals profile0.70 - 1.33Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Tusker have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Kenya Police FC have won 2 of their last 3. The available home/away sample gives Tusker a 50% home win trend and Kenya Police FC a 50% away win trend. Tusker average 0.70 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Kenya Police FC at 1.33 scored and 1.00 conceded. Tusker 1 wins, Kenya Police FC 2 wins, 0 draws in last 3 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 38% home, 25% draw and 37% away, making Tusker to Win the preferred tip at 38% confidence.

Tusker 1 wins, Kenya Police FC 2 wins, 0 draws in last 3 meetings.

Result check

Won

Actual result: 2-1 · Outcome: Home Win

Prediction guide

Tusker vs Kenya Police FC questions

What is the Tusker vs Kenya Police FC prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Tusker to Win with a predicted score of 3-0 and 38% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Tusker are rated at 38%, the draw at 25%, and Kenya Police FC at 37%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.