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Match predictions

Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

La Liga · Sun, Aug 17 - 22:30

La Liga logo La Liga Won
Espanyol Espanyol logo
2-1
Atletico Madrid logo Atletico Madrid
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 1 RCDE Stadium
135%Home X30%Draw 235%Away
Match Centre Confidence 35%
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Match forecast

Espanyol to Win

Won
Predicted score 2-1 Confidence: Low · 35% ★★☆☆☆
Espanyol Win35%
Draw30%
Atletico Madrid Win35%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 3 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 55% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 2-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-1 · Won
Model Confidence Low 35% Final score: 2-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Espanyol formD W W L L7 points from last five
Atletico Madrid formL W W L L6 points from last five
Home/Away strength10% / 30%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile0.80 - 1.40Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Espanyol have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Atletico Madrid have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Espanyol a 10% home win trend and Atletico Madrid a 30% away win trend. Espanyol average 0.80 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Atletico Madrid at 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Espanyol 1 wins, Atletico Madrid 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 35% home, 30% draw and 35% away, making Espanyol to Win the preferred tip at 35% confidence.

Espanyol 1 wins, Atletico Madrid 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 2-1 · Outcome: Home Win

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