Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

Reason for tip

Alaves have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Atletico Madrid have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Alaves a 30% home win trend and Atletico Madrid a 30% away win trend. Alaves average 1.80 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Atletico Madrid at 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Alaves 0 wins, Atletico Madrid 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 38% home, 28% draw and 34% away, making Alaves to Win the preferred tip at 38% confidence.