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Match predictions

Mallorca vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

La Liga · Sun, Sep 21 - 17:15

La Liga logo La Liga Lost
Mallorca Mallorca logo
1-1
Atletico Madrid logo Atletico Madrid
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 5 Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
143%Home X26%Draw 232%Away
Match Centre Confidence 43%
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Match forecast

Mallorca to Win

Lost
Predicted score 2-1 Confidence: Low · 43% ★★☆☆☆
Mallorca Win43%
Draw26%
Atletico Madrid Win32%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 2 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score Yes 60% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 2-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 43% Final score: 1-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Mallorca formW L L D W7 points from last five
Atletico Madrid formL W W L L6 points from last five
Home/Away strength60% / 30%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.40 - 1.40Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Mallorca have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Atletico Madrid have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Mallorca a 60% home win trend and Atletico Madrid a 30% away win trend. Mallorca average 1.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Atletico Madrid at 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Mallorca 0 wins, Atletico Madrid 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 43% home, 26% draw and 32% away, making Mallorca to Win the preferred tip at 43% confidence.

Mallorca 0 wins, Atletico Madrid 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 1-1 · Outcome: Draw

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