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Match predictions

Alaves vs Elche Prediction

La Liga · Sun, Oct 5 - 15:00

La Liga logo La Liga Won
Alaves logo Alaves
vs
Elche logo Elche
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 8 Estadio Mendizorrotza
146%Home X29%Draw 226%Away
Match Centre Confidence 46%
Prediction partner Brand partner
Match forecast

Alaves to Win

Won
Predicted score 2-1 Confidence: Low · 46% ★★☆☆☆
Alaves Win46%
Draw29%
Elche Win26%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 4 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 75% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 2-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 3-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 46% Final score: 3-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Alaves formL W W D L7 points from last five
Elche formD W L D L5 points from last five
Home/Away strength30% / 10%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.80 - 1.30Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Alaves have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Elche have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Alaves a 30% home win trend and Elche a 10% away win trend. Alaves average 1.80 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Elche at 1.30 scored and 1.20 conceded. Alaves 1 wins, Elche 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 46% home, 29% draw and 26% away, making Alaves to Win the preferred tip at 46% confidence.

Alaves 1 wins, Elche 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 3-1 · Outcome: Home Win

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