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Match predictions

Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves Prediction

La Liga · Sun, Oct 26 - 23:00

La Liga logo La Liga Won
Rayo Vallecano logo Rayo Vallecano
vs
Alaves logo Alaves
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 10 Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
148%Home X22%Draw 230%Away
Match Centre Confidence 48%
Prediction partner Brand partner
Match forecast

Rayo Vallecano to Win

Won
Predicted score 2-1 Confidence: Low · 48% ★★☆☆☆
Rayo Vallecano Win48%
Draw22%
Alaves Win30%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 78% probability Actual: 1 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score Yes 60% probability Actual: No · Lost
Correct Score 2-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-0 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 48% Final score: 1-0
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Rayo Vallecano formL W W D D8 points from last five
Alaves formL W W D L7 points from last five
Home/Away strength60% / 30%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.40 - 1.80Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Rayo Vallecano have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Alaves have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Rayo Vallecano a 60% home win trend and Alaves a 30% away win trend. Rayo Vallecano average 1.40 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Alaves at 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Rayo Vallecano 2 wins, Alaves 1 wins, 0 draws in last 3 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 48% home, 22% draw and 30% away, making Rayo Vallecano to Win the preferred tip at 48% confidence.

Rayo Vallecano 2 wins, Alaves 1 wins, 0 draws in last 3 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-0 · Outcome: Home Win

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