Elche vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction

Reason for tip

Elche have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Rayo Vallecano have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Elche a 40% home win trend and Rayo Vallecano a 40% away win trend. Elche average 1.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Rayo Vallecano at 1.40 scored and 0.70 conceded. Elche 1 wins, Rayo Vallecano 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 35% home, 25% draw and 39% away, making Rayo Vallecano to Win the preferred tip at 39% confidence.