Espanyol vs Alaves Prediction

Reason for tip

Espanyol have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Alaves have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Espanyol a 10% home win trend and Alaves a 30% away win trend. Espanyol average 0.80 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Alaves at 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Espanyol 0 wins, Alaves 2 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 31% home, 29% draw and 40% away, making Alaves to Win the preferred tip at 40% confidence.