Real Sociedad vs Alaves Prediction

Reason for tip

Real Sociedad have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Alaves have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Real Sociedad a 50% home win trend and Alaves a 30% away win trend. Real Sociedad average 1.70 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Alaves at 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Real Sociedad 1 wins, Alaves 1 wins, 1 draws in last 3 meetings. The table context has Real Sociedad in position 10, 46 points, 38 matches played, while Alaves in position 14, 43 points, 38 matches played. Player-form data gives Real Sociedad an average top-player rating of 7.05 with 40 latest goal involvements, compared with Alaves at 6.92 rating and 25 goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 37% home, 28% draw and 35% away, making Real Sociedad to Win the preferred tip at 37% confidence.