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Match predictions

Osasuna vs Sevilla Prediction

La Liga · Sun, Apr 26 - 19:30

La Liga logo La Liga Lost
Osasuna Osasuna logo
2-1
Sevilla logo Sevilla
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 32 Estadio El Sadar
132%Home X30%Draw 238%Away
Match Centre Confidence 38%
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Match forecast

Sevilla to Win

Lost
Predicted score 1-2 Confidence: Low · 38% ★★☆☆☆
Osasuna Win32%
Draw30%
Sevilla Win38%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 69% probability Actual: 3 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 55% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 1-2 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 38% Final score: 2-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Osasuna formL L L L L0 points from last five
Sevilla formL L W W W9 points from last five
Home/Away strength40% / 20%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.10 - 0.90Average goals scored
Table position17 / 1342 pts vs 43 pts
Player form7.04 / 6.99Average top-player rating

Reason for tip

Osasuna have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Sevilla have won 3 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Osasuna a 40% home win trend and Sevilla a 20% away win trend. Osasuna average 1.10 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Sevilla at 0.90 scored and 1.30 conceded. Osasuna 1 wins, Sevilla 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The table context has Osasuna in position 17, 42 points, 38 matches played, while Sevilla in position 13, 43 points, 38 matches played. Player-form data gives Osasuna an average top-player rating of 7.04 with 31 latest goal involvements, compared with Sevilla at 6.99 rating and 23 goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 32% home, 30% draw and 38% away, making Sevilla to Win the preferred tip at 38% confidence.

Osasuna 1 wins, Sevilla 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 2-1 · Outcome: Home Win

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