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Match predictions

Sevilla vs Espanyol Prediction

La Liga · Sat, May 9 - 17:15

La Liga logo La Liga Won
Sevilla Sevilla logo
2-1
Espanyol logo Espanyol
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 35 Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
144%Home X26%Draw 230%Away
Match Centre Confidence 44%
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Match forecast

Sevilla to Win

Won
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 44% ★★☆☆☆
Sevilla Win44%
Draw26%
Espanyol Win30%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 74% probability Actual: 3 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 45% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 44% Final score: 2-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Sevilla formL L W W W9 points from last five
Espanyol formD W W L L7 points from last five
Home/Away strength40% / 10%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile0.90 - 0.80Average goals scored
Table position13 / 1143 pts vs 46 pts
Player form6.99 / 6.76Average top-player rating

Reason for tip

Sevilla have won 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Espanyol have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Sevilla a 40% home win trend and Espanyol a 10% away win trend. Sevilla average 0.90 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Espanyol at 0.80 scored and 1.30 conceded. Sevilla 1 wins, Espanyol 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The table context has Sevilla in position 13, 43 points, 38 matches played, while Espanyol in position 11, 46 points, 38 matches played. Player-form data gives Sevilla an average top-player rating of 6.99 with 23 latest goal involvements, compared with Espanyol at 6.76 rating and 32 goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 44% home, 26% draw and 30% away, making Sevilla to Win the preferred tip at 44% confidence.

Sevilla 1 wins, Espanyol 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 2-1 · Outcome: Home Win

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