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Match predictions

Lorient vs Lille Prediction

Ligue 1 · Sat, Aug 30 - 18:00

Ligue 1 logo Ligue 1 Won
Lorient Lorient logo
1-7
Lille logo Lille
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 3 Stade du Moustoir
135%Home X23%Draw 243%Away
Match Centre Confidence 43%
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Match forecast

Lille to Win

Won
Predicted score 0-3 Confidence: Low · 43% ★★☆☆☆
Lorient Win35%
Draw23%
Lille Win43%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 8 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 40% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 0-3 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-7 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 43% Final score: 1-7
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Lorient formL W D L W7 points from last five
Lille formL W D W D8 points from last five
Home/Away strength50% / 70%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.40 - 1.40Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Lorient have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Lille have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Lorient a 50% home win trend and Lille a 70% away win trend. Lorient average 1.40 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Lille at 1.40 scored and 0.70 conceded. Lorient 0 wins, Lille 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 35% home, 23% draw and 43% away, making Lille to Win the preferred tip at 43% confidence.

Lorient 0 wins, Lille 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-7 · Outcome: Away Win

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