Auxerre vs Lille Prediction

Reason for tip

Auxerre have won 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Lille have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Auxerre a 40% home win trend and Lille a 70% away win trend. Auxerre average 1.50 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Lille at 1.40 scored and 0.70 conceded. Auxerre 1 wins, Lille 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 40% home, 21% draw and 39% away, making Auxerre to Win the preferred tip at 40% confidence.