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Match predictions

Parma vs Pisa Prediction

Serie A · Sat, Apr 25 - 16:00

Serie A logo Serie A Won
Parma Parma logo
1-0
Pisa logo Pisa
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 34 Stadio Ennio Tardini
154%Home X33%Draw 213%Away
Match Centre Confidence 54%
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Match forecast

Parma to Win

Won
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Medium · 54% ★★★☆☆
Parma Win54%
Draw33%
Pisa Win13%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 62% probability Actual: 1 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score No 40% probability Actual: No · Won
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-0 · Lost
Model Confidence Medium 54% Final score: 1-0
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Parma formW L L L W6 points from last five
Pisa formL L L L L0 points from last five
Home/Away strength30% / 4%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile0.80 - 0.60Average goals scored
Table position13 / 2045 pts vs 18 pts
Player form6.72 / 6.83Average top-player rating

Reason for tip

Parma have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Pisa have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Parma a 30% home win trend and Pisa a 4% away win trend. Parma average 0.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Pisa at 0.60 scored and 2.30 conceded. Parma 2 wins, Pisa 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The table context has Parma in position 13, 45 points, 38 matches played, while Pisa in position 20, 18 points, 38 matches played. Player-form data gives Parma an average top-player rating of 6.72 with 10 latest goal involvements, compared with Pisa at 6.83 rating and 16 goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 54% home, 33% draw and 13% away, making Parma to Win the preferred tip at 54% confidence.

Parma 2 wins, Pisa 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-0 · Outcome: Home Win

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