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Match predictions

Sassuolo vs AC Milan Prediction

Serie A · Sun, May 3 - 16:00

Serie A logo Serie A Won
Sassuolo Sassuolo logo
2-0
AC Milan logo AC Milan
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 35 MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
141%Home X27%Draw 232%Away
Match Centre Confidence 41%
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Match forecast

Sassuolo to Win

Won
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 41% ★★☆☆☆
Sassuolo Win41%
Draw27%
AC Milan Win32%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 78% probability Actual: 2 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score No 50% probability Actual: No · Won
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-0 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 41% Final score: 2-0
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Sassuolo formL L L W D4 points from last five
AC Milan formL W L L D4 points from last five
Home/Away strength60% / 60%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.10 - 0.90Average goals scored
Table position11 / 549 pts vs 70 pts
Player form6.79 / 7.13Average top-player rating

Reason for tip

Sassuolo have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while AC Milan have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Sassuolo a 60% home win trend and AC Milan a 60% away win trend. Sassuolo average 1.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with AC Milan at 0.90 scored and 1.50 conceded. Sassuolo 1 wins, AC Milan 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The table context has Sassuolo in position 11, 49 points, 38 matches played, while AC Milan in position 5, 70 points, 38 matches played. Player-form data gives Sassuolo an average top-player rating of 6.79 with 24 latest goal involvements, compared with AC Milan at 7.13 rating and 33 goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 41% home, 27% draw and 32% away, making Sassuolo to Win the preferred tip at 41% confidence.

Sassuolo 1 wins, AC Milan 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 2-0 · Outcome: Home Win

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