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Match predictions

Napoli vs Bologna Prediction

Serie A · Mon, May 11 - 21:45

Serie A logo Serie A Lost
Napoli Napoli logo
2-3
Bologna logo Bologna
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 36 Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
141%Home X21%Draw 238%Away
Match Centre Confidence 41%
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Match forecast

Napoli to Win

Lost
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 41% ★★☆☆☆
Napoli Win41%
Draw21%
Bologna Win38%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 5 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 35% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-3 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 41% Final score: 2-3
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Napoli formW W L D W10 points from last five
Bologna formD W W D L8 points from last five
Home/Away strength60% / 80%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.50 - 1.20Average goals scored
Table position2 / 876 pts vs 56 pts
Player form7.32 / 7.08Average top-player rating

Reason for tip

Napoli have won 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Bologna have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Napoli a 60% home win trend and Bologna a 80% away win trend. Napoli average 1.50 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Bologna at 1.20 scored and 1.70 conceded. Napoli 0 wins, Bologna 2 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The table context has Napoli in position 2, 76 points, 38 matches played, while Bologna in position 8, 56 points, 38 matches played. Player-form data gives Napoli an average top-player rating of 7.32 with 1 latest goal involvements, compared with Bologna at 7.08 rating and 16 goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 41% home, 21% draw and 38% away, making Napoli to Win the preferred tip at 41% confidence.

Napoli 0 wins, Bologna 2 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 2-3 · Outcome: Away Win

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