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Match predictions

Ulinzi Stars vs Tusker Prediction

Sportpesa League · Wed, May 27 - 16:00

Sportpesa League logo Sportpesa League Won
Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars logo
2-0
Tusker logo Tusker
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 32
145%Home X25%Draw 230%Away
Match Centre Confidence 45%
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Match forecast

Ulinzi Stars to Win

Won
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 45% ★★☆☆☆
Ulinzi Stars Win45%
Draw25%
Tusker Win30%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 57% probability Actual: 2 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score No 35% probability Actual: No · Won
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-0 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 45% Final score: 2-0
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Ulinzi Stars formW W W L D10 points from last five
Tusker formW D L L D5 points from last five
Home/Away strength30% / 30%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.20 - 0.70Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Ulinzi Stars have won 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Tusker have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Ulinzi Stars a 30% home win trend and Tusker a 30% away win trend. Ulinzi Stars average 1.20 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Tusker at 0.70 scored and 0.80 conceded. Ulinzi Stars 1 wins, Tusker 2 wins, 0 draws in last 3 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 45% home, 25% draw and 30% away, making Ulinzi Stars to Win the preferred tip at 45% confidence.

Ulinzi Stars 1 wins, Tusker 2 wins, 0 draws in last 3 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 2-0 · Outcome: Home Win

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