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Match predictions

Equity Bank vs Fortune Sacco Prediction

National Super League · Sat, Oct 25 - 15:00

National Super League logo National Super League Lost
Equity Bank Equity Bank logo
0-1
Fortune Sacco logo Fortune Sacco
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 4
154%Home X20%Draw 226%Away
Match Centre Confidence 54%
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Match forecast

Equity Bank to Win

Lost
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Medium · 54% ★★★☆☆
Equity Bank Win54%
Draw20%
Fortune Sacco Win26%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 73% probability Actual: 1 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score No 33% probability Actual: No · Won
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 0-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Medium 54% Final score: 0-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Equity Bank formW L W W D10 points from last five
Fortune Sacco formW W L L L6 points from last five
Home/Away strength70% / 20%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.70 - 1.30Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Equity Bank have won 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Fortune Sacco have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Equity Bank a 70% home win trend and Fortune Sacco a 20% away win trend. Equity Bank average 1.70 goals scored and 0.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Fortune Sacco at 1.30 scored and 1.50 conceded. Equity Bank 1 wins, Fortune Sacco 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 54% home, 20% draw and 26% away, making Equity Bank to Win the preferred tip at 54% confidence.

Equity Bank 1 wins, Fortune Sacco 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 0-1 · Outcome: Away Win

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