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Match predictions

Nairobi City Stars vs Kibera Black Stars Prediction

National Super League · Sun, Oct 26 - 15:00

National Super League logo National Super League Lost
Nairobi City Stars Nairobi City Stars logo
2-3
Kibera Black Stars logo Kibera Black Stars
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 4
129%Home X38%Draw 232%Away
Match Centre Confidence 38%
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Match forecast

Draw

Lost
Predicted score 2-2 Confidence: Low · 38% ★★☆☆☆
Nairobi City Stars Win29%
Draw38%
Kibera Black Stars Win32%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 77% probability Actual: 5 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 55% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 2-2 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-3 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 38% Final score: 2-3
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Nairobi City Stars formL L L D D2 points from last five
Kibera Black Stars formL L D D L2 points from last five
Home/Away strength30% / 30%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile0.70 - 0.70Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Nairobi City Stars have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Kibera Black Stars have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Nairobi City Stars a 30% home win trend and Kibera Black Stars a 30% away win trend. Nairobi City Stars average 0.70 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Kibera Black Stars at 0.70 scored and 1.00 conceded. Nairobi City Stars 0 wins, Kibera Black Stars 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 29% home, 38% draw and 32% away, making Draw the preferred tip at 38% confidence.

Nairobi City Stars 0 wins, Kibera Black Stars 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 2-3 · Outcome: Away Win

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