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Match predictions

Mombasa United vs Naivas Prediction

National Super League · Wed, Oct 29 - 13:00

National Super League logo National Super League Won
Mombasa United Mombasa United logo
1-0
Naivas logo Naivas
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 5
142%Home X21%Draw 237%Away
Match Centre Confidence 42%
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Match forecast

Mombasa United to Win

Won
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 42% ★★☆☆☆
Mombasa United Win42%
Draw21%
Naivas Win37%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 54% probability Actual: 1 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score No 30% probability Actual: No · Won
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-0 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 42% Final score: 1-0
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Mombasa United formD W L D W8 points from last five
Naivas formD L W W W10 points from last five
Home/Away strength80% / 50%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile0.70 - 1.90Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Mombasa United have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Naivas have won 3 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Mombasa United a 80% home win trend and Naivas a 50% away win trend. Mombasa United average 0.70 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Naivas at 1.90 scored and 0.60 conceded. Mombasa United 1 wins, Naivas 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 42% home, 21% draw and 37% away, making Mombasa United to Win the preferred tip at 42% confidence.

Mombasa United 1 wins, Naivas 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-0 · Outcome: Home Win

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