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Match predictions

Kibera Black Stars vs Naivas Prediction

National Super League · Sat, Jan 24 - 13:00

National Super League logo National Super League Lost
Kibera Black Stars Kibera Black Stars logo
1-1
Naivas logo Naivas
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 18
126%Home X23%Draw 251%Away
Match Centre Confidence 51%
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Match forecast

Naivas to Win

Lost
Predicted score 0-3 Confidence: Low · 51% ★★★☆☆
Kibera Black Stars Win26%
Draw23%
Naivas Win51%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 68% probability Actual: 2 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score No 50% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 0-3 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 51% Final score: 1-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Kibera Black Stars formL L D D L2 points from last five
Naivas formD L W W W10 points from last five
Home/Away strength40% / 50%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile0.70 - 1.90Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Kibera Black Stars have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Naivas have won 3 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Kibera Black Stars a 40% home win trend and Naivas a 50% away win trend. Kibera Black Stars average 0.70 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Naivas at 1.90 scored and 0.60 conceded. Kibera Black Stars 0 wins, Naivas 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 26% home, 23% draw and 51% away, making Naivas to Win the preferred tip at 51% confidence.

Kibera Black Stars 0 wins, Naivas 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 1-1 · Outcome: Draw

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