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Match predictions

Equity Bank vs Nzoia Sugar Prediction

National Super League · Sat, Jan 31 - 15:00

National Super League logo National Super League Won
Equity Bank Equity Bank logo
1-0
Nzoia Sugar logo Nzoia Sugar
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 19
157%Home X19%Draw 224%Away
Match Centre Confidence 57%
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Match forecast

Equity Bank to Win

Won
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Medium · 57% ★★★☆☆
Equity Bank Win57%
Draw19%
Nzoia Sugar Win24%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 54% probability Actual: 1 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score No 25% probability Actual: No · Won
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-0 · Lost
Model Confidence Medium 57% Final score: 1-0
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Equity Bank formW L W W D10 points from last five
Nzoia Sugar formW L W L L6 points from last five
Home/Away strength70% / 30%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.70 - 1.00Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Equity Bank have won 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Nzoia Sugar have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Equity Bank a 70% home win trend and Nzoia Sugar a 30% away win trend. Equity Bank average 1.70 goals scored and 0.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Nzoia Sugar at 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Equity Bank 2 wins, Nzoia Sugar 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 57% home, 19% draw and 24% away, making Equity Bank to Win the preferred tip at 57% confidence.

Equity Bank 2 wins, Nzoia Sugar 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-0 · Outcome: Home Win

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