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Match predictions

Equity Bank vs Mombasa United Prediction

National Super League · Sat, Mar 7 - 16:00

National Super League logo National Super League Lost
Equity Bank Equity Bank logo
1-3
Mombasa United logo Mombasa United
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 23
145%Home X20%Draw 235%Away
Match Centre Confidence 45%
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Match forecast

Equity Bank to Win

Lost
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 45% ★★☆☆☆
Equity Bank Win45%
Draw20%
Mombasa United Win35%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 63% probability Actual: 4 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 25% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-3 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 45% Final score: 1-3
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Equity Bank formW L W W D10 points from last five
Mombasa United formD W L D W8 points from last five
Home/Away strength70% / 50%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.70 - 0.70Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Equity Bank have won 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Mombasa United have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Equity Bank a 70% home win trend and Mombasa United a 50% away win trend. Equity Bank average 1.70 goals scored and 0.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Mombasa United at 0.70 scored and 0.60 conceded. Equity Bank 0 wins, Mombasa United 2 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 45% home, 20% draw and 35% away, making Equity Bank to Win the preferred tip at 45% confidence.

Equity Bank 0 wins, Mombasa United 2 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 1-3 · Outcome: Away Win

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