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Match predictions

Naivas vs Nairobi City Stars Prediction

National Super League · Sat, Mar 14 - 15:00

National Super League logo National Super League Won
Naivas Naivas logo
3-1
Nairobi City Stars logo Nairobi City Stars
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 24
167%Home X21%Draw 211%Away
Match Centre Confidence 67%
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Match forecast

Naivas to Win

Won
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: High · 67% ★★★★☆
Naivas Win67%
Draw21%
Nairobi City Stars Win11%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 70% probability Actual: 4 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 45% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 3-1 · Lost
Model Confidence High 67% Final score: 3-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Naivas formD L W W W10 points from last five
Nairobi City Stars formL L L D D2 points from last five
Home/Away strength60% / 4%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.90 - 0.70Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Naivas have won 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Nairobi City Stars have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Naivas a 60% home win trend and Nairobi City Stars a 4% away win trend. Naivas average 1.90 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Nairobi City Stars at 0.70 scored and 1.70 conceded. Naivas 1 wins, Nairobi City Stars 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 67% home, 21% draw and 11% away, making Naivas to Win the preferred tip at 67% confidence.

Naivas 1 wins, Nairobi City Stars 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 3-1 · Outcome: Home Win

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