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Match predictions

Nairobi City Stars vs MOFA Prediction

National Super League · Sat, Mar 28 - 16:00

National Super League logo National Super League Won
Nairobi City Stars Nairobi City Stars logo
1-1
MOFA logo MOFA
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 26
128%Home X36%Draw 236%Away
Match Centre Confidence 36%
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Match forecast

Draw

Won
Predicted score 2-2 Confidence: Low · 36% ★★☆☆☆
Nairobi City Stars Win28%
Draw36%
MOFA Win36%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 62% probability Actual: 2 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score Yes 55% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 2-2 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 36% Final score: 1-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Nairobi City Stars formL L L D D2 points from last five
MOFA formD D D D L4 points from last five
Home/Away strength30% / 20%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile0.70 - 1.10Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Nairobi City Stars have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while MOFA have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Nairobi City Stars a 30% home win trend and MOFA a 20% away win trend. Nairobi City Stars average 0.70 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the recent sample, compared with MOFA at 1.10 scored and 1.10 conceded. Nairobi City Stars 0 wins, MOFA 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 28% home, 36% draw and 36% away, making Draw the preferred tip at 36% confidence.

Nairobi City Stars 0 wins, MOFA 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-1 · Outcome: Draw

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