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Match predictions

Charlton vs Stevenage Prediction

Carabao Cup · Tue, Aug 12 - 21:45

Carabao Cup logo Carabao Cup Won
Charlton Charlton logo
3-1
Stevenage logo Stevenage
FULL-TIME 1ST ROUND The Valley
153%Home X37%Draw 211%Away
Match Centre Confidence 53%
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Match forecast

Charlton to Win

Won
Predicted score 2-1 Confidence: Low · 53% ★★★☆☆
Charlton Win53%
Draw37%
Stevenage Win11%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 4 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 65% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 2-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 3-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 53% Final score: 3-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Charlton formL W L D L4 points from last five
Stevenage formL L0 points from last five
Home/Away strength30% / 4%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.00 - 0.50Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Charlton have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Stevenage have won 0 of their last 2. The available home/away sample gives Charlton a 30% home win trend and Stevenage a 4% away win trend. Charlton average 1.00 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Stevenage at 0.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Charlton 1 wins, Stevenage 0 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 53% home, 37% draw and 11% away, making Charlton to Win the preferred tip at 53% confidence.

Charlton 1 wins, Stevenage 0 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 3-1 · Outcome: Home Win

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