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Match predictions

Portsmouth vs Reading Prediction

Carabao Cup · Tue, Aug 12 - 21:45

Carabao Cup logo Carabao Cup Lost
Portsmouth Portsmouth logo
1-2
Reading logo Reading
FULL-TIME 1ST ROUND Fratton Park
138%Home X25%Draw 237%Away
Match Centre Confidence 38%
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Match forecast

Portsmouth to Win

Lost
Predicted score 3-2 Confidence: Low · 38% ★★☆☆☆
Portsmouth Win38%
Draw25%
Reading Win37%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 3 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 68% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 3-2 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-2 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 38% Final score: 1-2
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Portsmouth formD W L W W10 points from last five
Reading formL L W W6 points from last five
Home/Away strength30% / 50%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.30 - 1.50Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Portsmouth have won 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Reading have won 2 of their last 4. The available home/away sample gives Portsmouth a 30% home win trend and Reading a 50% away win trend. Portsmouth average 1.30 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Reading at 1.50 scored and 1.75 conceded. Portsmouth 0 wins, Reading 1 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 38% home, 25% draw and 37% away, making Portsmouth to Win the preferred tip at 38% confidence.

Portsmouth 0 wins, Reading 1 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 1-2 · Outcome: Away Win

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