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Match predictions

Plymouth vs QPR Prediction

Carabao Cup · Tue, Aug 12 - 21:45

Carabao Cup logo Carabao Cup Won
Plymouth Plymouth logo
3-2
QPR logo QPR
FULL-TIME 1ST ROUND Home Park
156%Home X26%Draw 219%Away
Match Centre Confidence 56%
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Match forecast

Plymouth to Win

Won
Predicted score 2-1 Confidence: Medium · 56% ★★★☆☆
Plymouth Win56%
Draw26%
QPR Win19%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 5 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 63% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 2-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 3-2 · Lost
Model Confidence Medium 56% Final score: 3-2
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Plymouth formL D W4 points from last five
QPR formL L L L D1 points from last five
Home/Away strength90% / 20%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.33 - 1.50Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Plymouth have won 1 of their last 3 recorded matches, while QPR have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Plymouth a 90% home win trend and QPR a 20% away win trend. Plymouth average 1.33 goals scored and 1.67 conceded in the recent sample, compared with QPR at 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Plymouth 1 wins, QPR 0 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 56% home, 26% draw and 19% away, making Plymouth to Win the preferred tip at 56% confidence.

Plymouth 1 wins, QPR 0 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 3-2 · Outcome: Home Win

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