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Match predictions

Birmingham vs Sheffield Utd Prediction

Carabao Cup · Wed, Aug 13 - 22:00

Carabao Cup logo Carabao Cup Won
Birmingham Birmingham logo
2-1
Sheffield Utd logo Sheffield Utd
FULL-TIME 1ST ROUND St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park
145%Home X22%Draw 233%Away
Match Centre Confidence 45%
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Match forecast

Birmingham to Win

Won
Predicted score 2-1 Confidence: Low · 45% ★★☆☆☆
Birmingham Win45%
Draw22%
Sheffield Utd Win33%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 79% probability Actual: 3 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 70% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 2-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-1 · Won
Model Confidence Low 45% Final score: 2-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Birmingham formD W W D W11 points from last five
Sheffield Utd formW L L W W9 points from last five
Home/Away strength50% / 40%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.10 - 1.50Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Birmingham have won 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Sheffield Utd have won 3 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Birmingham a 50% home win trend and Sheffield Utd a 40% away win trend. Birmingham average 1.10 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Sheffield Utd at 1.50 scored and 1.70 conceded. Birmingham 1 wins, Sheffield Utd 1 wins, 1 draws in last 3 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 45% home, 22% draw and 33% away, making Birmingham to Win the preferred tip at 45% confidence.

Birmingham 1 wins, Sheffield Utd 1 wins, 1 draws in last 3 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 2-1 · Outcome: Home Win

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