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Match predictions

Birmingham vs Port Vale Prediction

Carabao Cup · Tue, Aug 26 - 21:45

Carabao Cup logo Carabao Cup Won
Birmingham Birmingham logo
0-1
Port Vale logo Port Vale
FULL-TIME 2ND ROUND St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park
137%Home X20%Draw 243%Away
Match Centre Confidence 43%
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Match forecast

Port Vale to Win

Won
Predicted score 0-3 Confidence: Low · 43% ★★☆☆☆
Birmingham Win37%
Draw20%
Port Vale Win43%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 54% probability Actual: 1 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score No 38% probability Actual: No · Won
Correct Score 0-3 Exact score prediction Actual: 0-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 43% Final score: 0-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Birmingham formD W W D W11 points from last five
Port Vale formL W W W W12 points from last five
Home/Away strength50% / 67%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.10 - 1.22Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Birmingham have won 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Port Vale have won 4 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Birmingham a 50% home win trend and Port Vale a 67% away win trend. Birmingham average 1.10 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Port Vale at 1.22 scored and 1.11 conceded. Birmingham 0 wins, Port Vale 1 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 37% home, 20% draw and 43% away, making Port Vale to Win the preferred tip at 43% confidence.

Birmingham 0 wins, Port Vale 1 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 0-1 · Outcome: Away Win

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