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Match predictions

Oxford United vs Brighton Prediction

Carabao Cup · Wed, Aug 27 - 21:45

Carabao Cup logo Carabao Cup Won
Oxford United Oxford United logo
0-6
Brighton logo Brighton
FULL-TIME 2ND ROUND Kassam Stadium
135%Home X27%Draw 238%Away
Match Centre Confidence 38%
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Match forecast

Brighton to Win

Won
Predicted score 0-3 Confidence: Low · 38% ★★☆☆☆
Oxford United Win35%
Draw27%
Brighton Win38%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 6 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 35% probability Actual: No · Won
Correct Score 0-3 Exact score prediction Actual: 0-6 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 38% Final score: 0-6
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Oxford United formL W L L W6 points from last five
Brighton formL L W L W6 points from last five
Home/Away strength40% / 40%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.10 - 1.40Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Oxford United have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Brighton have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Oxford United a 40% home win trend and Brighton a 40% away win trend. Oxford United average 1.10 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Brighton at 1.40 scored and 1.10 conceded. Oxford United 0 wins, Brighton 1 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 35% home, 27% draw and 38% away, making Brighton to Win the preferred tip at 38% confidence.

Oxford United 0 wins, Brighton 1 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 0-6 · Outcome: Away Win

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