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Hosted by Morocco

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Match predictions

Lincoln vs Chelsea Prediction

Carabao Cup · Tue, Sep 23 - 21:45

Updated Sat, Jul 25, 2026 00:00 EAT
Carabao Cup logo Carabao Cup Won
Lincoln Lincoln logo
1-2
Chelsea logo Chelsea
FULL-TIME 3RD ROUND LNER stadium
135%Home X28%Draw 236%Away
Match Centre Confidence 36%
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Prediction summary

Lincoln vs Chelsea key facts

Primary tipChelsea to Win
Predicted score2-3
Kick-offTue, Sep 23 - 21:45
Confidence36%
Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

Lincoln have won 2 of their last 4 recorded matches, while Chelsea have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Lincoln a 4% home win trend and Chelsea a 30% away win trend. Lincoln average 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Chelsea at 1.30 scored and 1.50 conceded. Lincoln 0 wins, Chelsea 1 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings. The table context has Chelsea in position 10, 52 points, 38 matches played, while no comparable table row was available for Lincoln. Player-form data gives Lincoln an average top-player rating of 7.30 with 3 latest goal involvements, compared with Chelsea at 7.60 rating and 57 goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 35% home, 28% draw and 36% away, making Chelsea to Win the preferred tip at 36% confidence.

Match forecast

Chelsea to Win

Won
Predicted score 2-3 Confidence: Low · 36% ★★☆☆☆
Lincoln Win35%
Draw28%
Chelsea Win36%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 3 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 58% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 2-3 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-2 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 36% Final score: 1-2
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Lincoln formD L W W7 points from last five
Chelsea formL W L D L4 points from last five
Home/Away strength4% / 30%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.50 - 1.30Average goals scored
Table position / 10 pts vs 52 pts
Player form7.30 / 7.60Average top-player rating

Reason for tip

Lincoln have won 2 of their last 4 recorded matches, while Chelsea have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Lincoln a 4% home win trend and Chelsea a 30% away win trend. Lincoln average 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Chelsea at 1.30 scored and 1.50 conceded. Lincoln 0 wins, Chelsea 1 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings. The table context has Chelsea in position 10, 52 points, 38 matches played, while no comparable table row was available for Lincoln. Player-form data gives Lincoln an average top-player rating of 7.30 with 3 latest goal involvements, compared with Chelsea at 7.60 rating and 57 goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 35% home, 28% draw and 36% away, making Chelsea to Win the preferred tip at 36% confidence.

Lincoln 0 wins, Chelsea 1 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-2 · Outcome: Away Win

Prediction guide

Lincoln vs Chelsea questions

What is the Lincoln vs Chelsea prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Chelsea to Win with a predicted score of 2-3 and 36% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Lincoln are rated at 35%, the draw at 28%, and Chelsea at 36%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.

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