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Match predictions

Port Vale vs Arsenal Prediction

Carabao Cup · Wed, Sep 24 - 22:00

Carabao Cup logo Carabao Cup Lost
Port Vale Port Vale logo
0-2
Arsenal logo Arsenal
FULL-TIME 3RD ROUND Vale Park
141%Home X19%Draw 240%Away
Match Centre Confidence 41%
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Match forecast

Port Vale to Win

Lost
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 41% ★★☆☆☆
Port Vale Win41%
Draw19%
Arsenal Win40%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 61% probability Actual: 2 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score No 28% probability Actual: No · Won
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 0-2 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 41% Final score: 0-2
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Port Vale formL W W W W12 points from last five
Arsenal formD W W W W13 points from last five
Home/Away strength83% / 50%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.22 - 1.20Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Port Vale have won 4 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Arsenal have won 4 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Port Vale a 83% home win trend and Arsenal a 50% away win trend. Port Vale average 1.22 goals scored and 1.11 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Arsenal at 1.20 scored and 0.50 conceded. Port Vale 0 wins, Arsenal 1 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 41% home, 19% draw and 40% away, making Port Vale to Win the preferred tip at 41% confidence.

Port Vale 0 wins, Arsenal 1 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 0-2 · Outcome: Away Win

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