Newcastle vs Manchester City Prediction
Carabao Cup · Tue, Jan 13 - 23:00
Updated Sat, Jul 25, 2026 00:00 EAT
Carabao Cup
Won
Manchester City
Newcastle vs Manchester City key facts
Newcastle have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Manchester City have won 3 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Newcastle a 40% home win trend and Manchester City a 60% away win trend. Newcastle average 1.30 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Manchester City at 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Newcastle 1 wins, Manchester City 4 wins, 0 draws in last 5 meetings. The table context has Newcastle in position 12, 49 points, 38 matches played, while Manchester City in position 2, 78 points, 38 matches played. Player-form data gives Newcastle an average top-player rating of 7.17 with 30 latest goal involvements, compared with Manchester City at 7.40 rating and 54 goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 32% home, 21% draw and 48% away, making Manchester City to Win the preferred tip at 48% confidence.
Manchester City to Win
Data-driven betting predictions
Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.
Why this prediction?
Reason for tip
Newcastle have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Manchester City have won 3 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Newcastle a 40% home win trend and Manchester City a 60% away win trend. Newcastle average 1.30 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Manchester City at 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Newcastle 1 wins, Manchester City 4 wins, 0 draws in last 5 meetings. The table context has Newcastle in position 12, 49 points, 38 matches played, while Manchester City in position 2, 78 points, 38 matches played. Player-form data gives Newcastle an average top-player rating of 7.17 with 30 latest goal involvements, compared with Manchester City at 7.40 rating and 54 goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 32% home, 21% draw and 48% away, making Manchester City to Win the preferred tip at 48% confidence.
Newcastle 1 wins, Manchester City 4 wins, 0 draws in last 5 meetings.Won
Actual result: 0-2 · Outcome: Away Win
Newcastle vs Manchester City questions
What is the Newcastle vs Manchester City prediction?
The Kisure Sports model favours Manchester City to Win with a predicted score of 1-2 and 48% confidence.
What are the win probabilities?
Newcastle are rated at 32%, the draw at 21%, and Manchester City at 48%.
What data is used for this forecast?
The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.