Chelsea vs Arsenal Prediction
Carabao Cup · Wed, Jan 14 - 23:00
Updated Sat, Jul 25, 2026 00:00 EAT
Carabao Cup
Won
Arsenal
Chelsea vs Arsenal key facts
Chelsea have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Arsenal have won 4 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Chelsea a 30% home win trend and Arsenal a 50% away win trend. Chelsea average 1.30 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Arsenal at 1.20 scored and 0.50 conceded. Chelsea 0 wins, Arsenal 3 wins, 1 draws in last 4 meetings. The table context has Chelsea in position 10, 52 points, 38 matches played, while Arsenal in position 1, 85 points, 38 matches played. Player-form data gives Chelsea an average top-player rating of 7.60 with 57 latest goal involvements, compared with Arsenal at 7.30 rating and 39 goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 28% home, 20% draw and 52% away, making Arsenal to Win the preferred tip at 52% confidence.
Arsenal to Win
Data-driven betting predictions
Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.
Why this prediction?
Reason for tip
Chelsea have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Arsenal have won 4 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Chelsea a 30% home win trend and Arsenal a 50% away win trend. Chelsea average 1.30 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Arsenal at 1.20 scored and 0.50 conceded. Chelsea 0 wins, Arsenal 3 wins, 1 draws in last 4 meetings. The table context has Chelsea in position 10, 52 points, 38 matches played, while Arsenal in position 1, 85 points, 38 matches played. Player-form data gives Chelsea an average top-player rating of 7.60 with 57 latest goal involvements, compared with Arsenal at 7.30 rating and 39 goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 28% home, 20% draw and 52% away, making Arsenal to Win the preferred tip at 52% confidence.
Chelsea 0 wins, Arsenal 3 wins, 1 draws in last 4 meetings.Won
Actual result: 2-3 · Outcome: Away Win
Chelsea vs Arsenal questions
What is the Chelsea vs Arsenal prediction?
The Kisure Sports model favours Arsenal to Win with a predicted score of 0-3 and 52% confidence.
What are the win probabilities?
Chelsea are rated at 28%, the draw at 20%, and Arsenal at 52%.
What data is used for this forecast?
The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.