Arsenal vs Chelsea Prediction
Carabao Cup · Tue, Feb 3 - 23:00
Updated Sat, Jul 25, 2026 00:00 EAT
Carabao Cup
Won
Chelsea
Arsenal vs Chelsea key facts
Arsenal have won 4 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Chelsea have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Arsenal a 70% home win trend and Chelsea a 30% away win trend. Arsenal average 1.20 goals scored and 0.50 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Chelsea at 1.30 scored and 1.50 conceded. Arsenal 3 wins, Chelsea 0 wins, 1 draws in last 4 meetings. The table context has Arsenal in position 1, 85 points, 38 matches played, while Chelsea in position 10, 52 points, 38 matches played. Player-form data gives Arsenal an average top-player rating of 7.30 with 39 latest goal involvements, compared with Chelsea at 7.60 rating and 57 goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 59% home, 18% draw and 23% away, making Arsenal to Win the preferred tip at 59% confidence.
Arsenal to Win
Data-driven betting predictions
Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.
Why this prediction?
Reason for tip
Arsenal have won 4 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Chelsea have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Arsenal a 70% home win trend and Chelsea a 30% away win trend. Arsenal average 1.20 goals scored and 0.50 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Chelsea at 1.30 scored and 1.50 conceded. Arsenal 3 wins, Chelsea 0 wins, 1 draws in last 4 meetings. The table context has Arsenal in position 1, 85 points, 38 matches played, while Chelsea in position 10, 52 points, 38 matches played. Player-form data gives Arsenal an average top-player rating of 7.30 with 39 latest goal involvements, compared with Chelsea at 7.60 rating and 57 goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 59% home, 18% draw and 23% away, making Arsenal to Win the preferred tip at 59% confidence.
Arsenal 3 wins, Chelsea 0 wins, 1 draws in last 4 meetings.Won
Actual result: 1-0 · Outcome: Home Win
Arsenal vs Chelsea questions
What is the Arsenal vs Chelsea prediction?
The Kisure Sports model favours Arsenal to Win with a predicted score of 3-0 and 59% confidence.
What are the win probabilities?
Arsenal are rated at 59%, the draw at 18%, and Chelsea at 23%.
What data is used for this forecast?
The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.