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Match predictions

Tunisia vs Uganda Prediction

AFCON · Tue, Dec 23 - 23:00

AFCON logo AFCON Won
Tunisia Tunisia logo
3-1
Uganda logo Uganda
FULL-TIME GROUP STAGE - 1 Stade Olympique Annexe Complexe Sportif Prince Abdellah
144%Home X27%Draw 229%Away
Match Centre Confidence 44%
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Match forecast

Tunisia to Win

Won
Predicted score 3-2 Confidence: Low · 44% ★★☆☆☆
Tunisia Win44%
Draw27%
Uganda Win29%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 4 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 59% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 3-2 Exact score prediction Actual: 3-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 44% Final score: 3-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Tunisia formL L L D D2 points from last five
Uganda formL D L L W4 points from last five
Home/Away strength60% / 33%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.90 - 1.57Average goals scored
Table position2 / 44 pts vs 1 pts
Player form6.88 / -Average top-player rating

Reason for tip

Tunisia have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Uganda have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Tunisia a 60% home win trend and Uganda a 33% away win trend. Tunisia average 1.90 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Uganda at 1.57 scored and 1.29 conceded. Tunisia 1 wins, Uganda 0 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings. The table context has Tunisia in position 2, 4 points, 3 matches played, while Uganda in position 4, 1 points, 3 matches played. Player-form data is available for Tunisia, with an average top-player rating of 6.88 and 2 latest goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 44% home, 27% draw and 29% away, making Tunisia to Win the preferred tip at 44% confidence.

Tunisia 1 wins, Uganda 0 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 3-1 · Outcome: Home Win

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