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Match predictions

Burgos vs Getafe Prediction

Copa del Rey · Thu, Dec 18 - 21:00

Copa del Rey logo Copa del Rey Won
Burgos Burgos logo
3-1
Getafe logo Getafe
FULL-TIME ROUND OF 32 Municipal El Plantio
145%Home X24%Draw 231%Away
Match Centre Confidence 45%
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Match forecast

Burgos to Win

Won
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 45% ★★☆☆☆
Burgos Win45%
Draw24%
Getafe Win31%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 80% probability Actual: 4 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 35% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 3-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 45% Final score: 3-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Burgos formL W W D7 points from last five
Getafe formW L W D L7 points from last five
Home/Away strength50% / 40%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.25 - 0.90Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Burgos have won 2 of their last 4 recorded matches, while Getafe have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Burgos a 50% home win trend and Getafe a 40% away win trend. Burgos average 1.25 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Getafe at 0.90 scored and 0.80 conceded. Burgos 1 wins, Getafe 0 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 45% home, 24% draw and 31% away, making Burgos to Win the preferred tip at 45% confidence.

Burgos 1 wins, Getafe 0 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 3-1 · Outcome: Home Win

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