Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction
Copa del Rey · Wed, Jan 14 - 23:00
Updated Sat, Jul 25, 2026 00:00 EAT
Copa del Rey
Lost
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano key facts
Alaves have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Rayo Vallecano have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Alaves a 30% home win trend and Rayo Vallecano a 40% away win trend. Alaves average 1.80 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Rayo Vallecano at 1.40 scored and 0.70 conceded. Alaves 1 wins, Rayo Vallecano 2 wins, 0 draws in last 3 meetings. The table context has Rayo Vallecano in position 11, 64 points, 46 matches played, while no comparable table row was available for Alaves. Player-form data gives Alaves an average top-player rating of 6.92 with 25 latest goal involvements, compared with Rayo Vallecano at 7.01 rating and 22 goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 35% home, 25% draw and 40% away, making Rayo Vallecano to Win the preferred tip at 40% confidence.
Rayo Vallecano to Win
Data-driven betting predictions
Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.
Why this prediction?
Reason for tip
Alaves have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Rayo Vallecano have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Alaves a 30% home win trend and Rayo Vallecano a 40% away win trend. Alaves average 1.80 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Rayo Vallecano at 1.40 scored and 0.70 conceded. Alaves 1 wins, Rayo Vallecano 2 wins, 0 draws in last 3 meetings. The table context has Rayo Vallecano in position 11, 64 points, 46 matches played, while no comparable table row was available for Alaves. Player-form data gives Alaves an average top-player rating of 6.92 with 25 latest goal involvements, compared with Rayo Vallecano at 7.01 rating and 22 goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 35% home, 25% draw and 40% away, making Rayo Vallecano to Win the preferred tip at 40% confidence.
Alaves 1 wins, Rayo Vallecano 2 wins, 0 draws in last 3 meetings.Lost
Actual result: 2-0 · Outcome: Home Win
Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano questions
What is the Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano prediction?
The Kisure Sports model favours Rayo Vallecano to Win with a predicted score of 2-3 and 40% confidence.
What are the win probabilities?
Alaves are rated at 35%, the draw at 25%, and Rayo Vallecano at 40%.
What data is used for this forecast?
The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.