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Match predictions

Albacete vs Real Madrid Prediction

Copa del Rey · Wed, Jan 14 - 23:00

Copa del Rey logo Copa del Rey Won
Albacete Albacete logo
3-2
Real Madrid logo Real Madrid
FULL-TIME ROUND OF 16 Estadio Carlos Belmonte
141%Home X21%Draw 238%Away
Match Centre Confidence 41%
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Match forecast

Albacete to Win

Won
Predicted score 3-2 Confidence: Low · 41% ★★☆☆☆
Albacete Win41%
Draw21%
Real Madrid Win38%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 5 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 70% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 3-2 Exact score prediction Actual: 3-2 · Won
Model Confidence Low 41% Final score: 3-2
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Albacete formL W D W W10 points from last five
Real Madrid formW W W L W12 points from last five
Home/Away strength33% / 50%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile2.20 - 1.70Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Albacete have won 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Real Madrid have won 4 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Albacete a 33% home win trend and Real Madrid a 50% away win trend. Albacete average 2.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Real Madrid at 1.70 scored and 1.30 conceded. Albacete 1 wins, Real Madrid 0 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 41% home, 21% draw and 38% away, making Albacete to Win the preferred tip at 41% confidence.

Albacete 1 wins, Real Madrid 0 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 3-2 · Outcome: Home Win

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