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Match predictions

Burgos vs Valencia Prediction

Copa del Rey · Thu, Jan 15 - 23:00

Copa del Rey logo Copa del Rey Won
Burgos Burgos logo
0-2
Valencia logo Valencia
FULL-TIME ROUND OF 16 Municipal El Plantio
135%Home X23%Draw 242%Away
Match Centre Confidence 42%
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Match forecast

Valencia to Win

Won
Predicted score 1-2 Confidence: Low · 42% ★★☆☆☆
Burgos Win35%
Draw23%
Valencia Win42%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 72% probability Actual: 2 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score Yes 55% probability Actual: No · Lost
Correct Score 1-2 Exact score prediction Actual: 0-2 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 42% Final score: 0-2
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Burgos formL W W D7 points from last five
Valencia formW W D W L10 points from last five
Home/Away strength50% / 50%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.25 - 1.60Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Burgos have won 2 of their last 4 recorded matches, while Valencia have won 3 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Burgos a 50% home win trend and Valencia a 50% away win trend. Burgos average 1.25 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Valencia at 1.60 scored and 1.30 conceded. Burgos 0 wins, Valencia 1 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 35% home, 23% draw and 42% away, making Valencia to Win the preferred tip at 42% confidence.

Burgos 0 wins, Valencia 1 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 0-2 · Outcome: Away Win

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