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Match predictions

Senegal vs Sudan Prediction

AFCON · Sat, Jan 3 - 19:00

AFCON logo AFCON Won
Senegal Senegal logo
3-1
Sudan logo Sudan
FULL-TIME ROUND OF 16 Stade Ibn-Batouta
160%Home X21%Draw 218%Away
Match Centre Confidence 60%
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Match forecast

Senegal to Win

Won
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Medium · 60% ★★★★☆
Senegal Win60%
Draw21%
Sudan Win18%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 79% probability Actual: 4 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 33% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 3-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Medium 60% Final score: 3-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Senegal formL W L L W6 points from last five
Sudan formL L W L L3 points from last five
Home/Away strength88% / 17%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile2.00 - 0.25Average goals scored
Table position1 / 37 pts vs 3 pts
Player form7.38 / -Average top-player rating

Reason for tip

Senegal have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Sudan have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Senegal a 88% home win trend and Sudan a 17% away win trend. Senegal average 2.00 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Sudan at 0.25 scored and 1.50 conceded. Senegal 2 wins, Sudan 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The table context has Senegal in position 1, 7 points, 3 matches played, while Sudan in position 3, 3 points, 3 matches played. Player-form data is available for Senegal, with an average top-player rating of 7.38 and 2 latest goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 60% home, 21% draw and 18% away, making Senegal to Win the preferred tip at 60% confidence.

Senegal 2 wins, Sudan 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 3-1 · Outcome: Home Win

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