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Match predictions

Senegal vs Egypt Prediction

AFCON · Wed, Jan 14 - 20:00

AFCON logo AFCON Won
Senegal Senegal logo
1-0
Egypt logo Egypt
FULL-TIME SEMI-FINALS Stade Ibn-Batouta
151%Home X21%Draw 228%Away
Match Centre Confidence 51%
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Match forecast

Senegal to Win

Won
Predicted score 2-1 Confidence: Low · 51% ★★★☆☆
Senegal Win51%
Draw21%
Egypt Win28%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 66% probability Actual: 1 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score Yes 60% probability Actual: No · Lost
Correct Score 2-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-0 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 51% Final score: 1-0
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Senegal formL W L L W6 points from last five
Egypt formL D D W D6 points from last five
Home/Away strength88% / 25%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile2.00 - 1.30Average goals scored
Table position1 / 17 pts vs 7 pts
Player form7.38 / 7.24Average top-player rating

Reason for tip

Senegal have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Egypt have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Senegal a 88% home win trend and Egypt a 25% away win trend. Senegal average 2.00 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Egypt at 1.30 scored and 1.10 conceded. Senegal 1 wins, Egypt 0 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings. The table context has Senegal in position 1, 7 points, 3 matches played, while Egypt in position 1, 7 points, 3 matches played. Player-form data gives Senegal an average top-player rating of 7.38 with 2 latest goal involvements, compared with Egypt at 7.24 rating and 6 goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 51% home, 21% draw and 28% away, making Senegal to Win the preferred tip at 51% confidence.

Senegal 1 wins, Egypt 0 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-0 · Outcome: Home Win

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