Morpeth Town vs Pontefract Collieries Prediction |...

Prediction summary

Morpeth Town vs Pontefract Collieries key facts

Primary tipMorpeth Town to Win

Predicted score2-1

Kick-offSat, Aug 30 - 17:00

Confidence58%

Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

Morpeth Town have won 2 of their last 3 recorded matches, while Pontefract Collieries have won 0 of their last 1. The available home/away sample gives Morpeth Town a 67% home win trend and Pontefract Collieries a 4% away win trend. Morpeth Town average 1.67 goals scored and 1.67 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Pontefract Collieries at 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Morpeth Town 1 wins, Pontefract Collieries 0 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 58% home, 26% draw and 16% away, making Morpeth Town to Win the preferred tip at 58% confidence.

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Match forecast

Morpeth Town to Win

Won

Predicted score 2-1 Confidence: Medium · 58% ★★★☆☆

Morpeth Town Win58%

Draw26%

Pontefract Collieries Win16%

Recommended markets

Data-driven betting predictions

Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.

Match Winner Morpeth Town to Win 58% model probability

Double Chance 1X 84% model probability

Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 82% model probability

Both Teams To Score Yes 78% model probability

Correct Score 2-1 Model-derived tip

First Team To Score Morpeth Town Model-derived tip

Clean Sheet Morpeth Town clean sheet possible Model-derived tip

Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 3 goals · Won

Both Teams To Score Yes 78% probability Actual: Yes · Won

Correct Score 2-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-1 · Won

Model Confidence Medium 58% Final score: 2-1

Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Morpeth Town formL W W6 points from last five

Pontefract Collieries formL0 points from last five

Home/Away strength67% / 4%Venue trend in available data

Goals profile1.67 - 1.00Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Morpeth Town have won 2 of their last 3 recorded matches, while Pontefract Collieries have won 0 of their last 1. The available home/away sample gives Morpeth Town a 67% home win trend and Pontefract Collieries a 4% away win trend. Morpeth Town average 1.67 goals scored and 1.67 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Pontefract Collieries at 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Morpeth Town 1 wins, Pontefract Collieries 0 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 58% home, 26% draw and 16% away, making Morpeth Town to Win the preferred tip at 58% confidence.

Morpeth Town 1 wins, Pontefract Collieries 0 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings.

Result check

Won

Actual result: 2-1 · Outcome: Home Win

Prediction guide

Morpeth Town vs Pontefract Collieries questions

What is the Morpeth Town vs Pontefract Collieries prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Morpeth Town to Win with a predicted score of 2-1 and 58% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Morpeth Town are rated at 58%, the draw at 26%, and Pontefract Collieries at 16%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.

Morpeth Town vs Pontefract Collieries Prediction